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Live probability estimates for every player prop and team total. Historical hit rates, trend charts, and plain-English explanations β€” powered by data, not hype.

πŸ’œ
LeBron James
LAL Β· SF Β· vs BOS
Tonight 7:30 PM
Points Over 27.5 61%
Season: 58% L10: 70% vs BOS: 75% Home: 66%
HIGH CONFIDENCE
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Probabilities Calculated
63.2%
Model Accuracy (60%+ picks)
NBA Β· NHL Β· NFL
Leagues Covered

Three Numbers, One Decision

Every prop on EdgeLine shows three probabilities side by side. When you see where they agreeβ€”and where they divergeβ€”you see the edge.

51.1%
Book Implied

What the sportsbook's odds say after removing their built-in margin (vig). This is the market's consensus estimate.

58.5%
Raw Historical

Pure fact: how often this player has exceeded this line over a measured window. No adjustments, no opinions.

64.2%
Model Estimate

Our model's adjusted probability: weighted windows + opponent, pace, rest, and recent form adjustments.

Everything You Need to Make Smarter Decisions

Real data. Real probabilities. No guesswork.

Live Probability Engine

See the estimated probability of any posted line β€” updated in real time. Historical hit rates across every window: season, last 10, last 20, vs opponent, home/away.

Trend Charts & Splits

Visual trend lines showing recent performance vs the posted line. Split data by home/away, last N games, and opponent to spot patterns instantly.

Plain-English Explanations

Every probability comes with a clear explanation of why it's high or low. Understand the factors driving each projection without needing a stats degree.

Real-Time Updates

Stats update within minutes. Live scores refresh every 30 seconds during games. Odds refresh every 5 minutes from multiple sportsbook sources.

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Transparent & Trustworthy

We show our work. Every probability displays the raw historical rate separately from the model estimate. See exactly what data drives each number.

Odds Intelligence

De-vigged probabilities, edge calculations, EV estimates, sportsbook comparison, and line movement tracking. See what the book really thinks β€” and where the data disagrees.

Value Finder

All active props ranked by model edge in one sortable, filterable table. Filter by league, minimum edge, confidence, and risk level to find exactly what you're looking for.

Today's Top Picks

Our highest-confidence props for tonight's games.

πŸ”’ 47 more picks available today

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2

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3

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